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the YUKON PROTOCOL 2021— How Much of the $100 Billion/yr Top 100 GHG Emitters Owe GREEN CLIMATE FUND
Nov 24th 2021 — TRENDLines Research published its “Yukon Protocol” on Aug 23 2009 to provide guidance to the UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change) and policymakers of developed nations in establishing equitable contributions wrt the $100 billion Climate Finance Delivery Plan — reaffirmed at COP26-Glasgow-2021.
As background, after each of the UN’s IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) reports, developing nations begrudged demands on them to forego economical coal, oil and gases as their gracious part in “saving the planet”.
Their objections are founded in the perceived unfairness that while today’s wealthy nations achieved their status in part via industrialization under a high emissions regime, the latter has undergone an epiphany of sorts and so to suppress imminent climate change due to past sins, they now chastise developing nations for utilising those same efficient fossil fuel resources to foster their growth.
So as a fairness measure to offset the cost burden of low emission infrastructure in young economies, COP15-Copenhagen-2009 proposed a Green Climate Fund (GCF) from which they can draw upon — and to be funded by mature nations.
Subsequent COP’s (Conference Of the Parties) established the GCF, but a dozen years on, donor nations continue a struggle to find equitable contribution levels.
TR’s Yukon Protocol suggests a truly relevant apportionment of the $100 billion Climate Finance Delivery Plan rests in setting national contributions in accordance to each country’s share of cumulative co2 emissions.
The Yukon Protocol’s latest methodology divides up the $100 billion Climate Finance target among the top 100 co2 emitters using their known prorated share of cumulative emissions (since Year 1750). Said 100 are responsible for 97% of total emissions for this period. The remaining 114 nations are candidates for GCF grants & loans.
With full compliance, annual contributions within the Protocol range from $31 million assessed against Jamaica — the lowest of the 100 top emitters (0.03%) to $25.65 billion due from the largest — the USA (25.65%). Over 2/3 of the target is achieved levying the top ten emitters. A full list follows below of both top 100 emitters & Green Climate Fund 114 candidate recipients.
Credit to CDIAC, GCP & OWID acknowledged as data sources.
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Bowser, BC Canada (250) 918–5325
Freddy Hutter, data analyst charts@trendlines.ca
Top 100 emitter nations — funding proportion based on cumulative co2 emissions:
— nation — assessed share of $100 billion target — emitter rating —
United States 25.65% $25,651,095,494 1
China 13.76% $13,755,684,167 2
Russia 7.12% $7,120,711,038 3
Germany 5.75% $5,746,176,106 4
United Kingdom 4.87% $4,867,713,931 5
Japan 4.04% $4,040,926,002 6
India 3.25% $3,245,142,621 7
France 2.39% $2,387,350,145 8
Canada 2.07% $2,066,969,822 9
Ukraine 1.85% $1,849,937,991 10
Poland 1.73% $1,725,919,802 11
Italy 1.52% $1,519,222,819 12
South Africa 1.29% $1,291,856,139 13
Mexico 1.24% $1,240,181,893 14
Iran 1.15% $1,147,168,251 15
Australia 1.14% $1,136,833,402 16
South Korea 1.06% $1,064,489,458 17
Brazil 0.95% $950,806,118 18
Saudi Arabia 0.93% $930,136,420 19
Spain 0.92% $919,801,571 20
Indonesia 0.85% $847,457,627 21
Kazakhstan 0.84% $837,122,778 22
Belgium 0.78% $775,113,683 23
Czechia 0.74% $744,109,136 24
Netherlands 0.72% $723,439,438 25
Turkey 0.65% $651,095,494 26
Taiwan 0.54% $537,412,154 27
Romania 0.53% $527,077,305 28
Argentina 0.52% $516,742,456 29
Venezuela 0.49% $485,737,908 30
Thailand 0.44% $444,398,512 31
Uzbekistan 0.41% $413,393,964 32
Egypt 0.38% $382,389,417 33
Malaysia 0.36% $361,719,719 34
Austria 0.34% $341,050,021 35
Belarus 0.33% $330,715,172 36
North Korea 0.32% $320,380,322 37
Hungary 0.31% $310,045,473 38
Pakistan 0.31% $310,045,473 38
Sweden 0.31% $310,045,473 38
United Arab Emirates 0.29% $289,375,775 41
Algeria 0.28% $279,040,926 42
Iraq 0.28% $279,040,926 43
Denmark 0.26% $258,371,228 44
Greece 0.25% $248,036,379 45
Bulgaria 0.24% $237,701,530 46
Nigeria 0.24% $237,701,530 46
Slovakia 0.24% $237,701,530 46
Vietnam 0.23% $227,366,680 49
Colombia 0.21% $206,696,982 50
Philippines 0.21% $206,696,982 50
Finland 0.20% $196,362,133 52
Switzerland 0.19% $186,027,284 53
Chile 0.18% $175,692,435 54
Kuwait 0.18% $175,692,435 54
Serbia 0.18% $175,692,435 54
Azerbaijan 0.17% $165,357,586 57
Norway 0.17% $165,357,586 57
Portugal 0.17% $165,357,586 57
Turkmenistan 0.17% $165,357,586 57
Israel 0.14% $144,687,888 61
Ireland 0.13% $134,353,038 62
Singapore 0.13% $134,353,038 62
Libya 0.12% $124,018,189 64
Qatar 0.12% $124,018,189 64
New Zealand 0.11% $113,683,340 66
Peru 0.11% $113,683,340 66
Syria 0.11% $113,683,340 66
Cuba 0.10% $103,348,491 69
Hong Kong 0.10% $103,348,491 69
Morocco 0.10% $103,348,491 69
Bangladesh 0.09% $93,013,642 72
Estonia 0.09% $93,013,642 72
Trinidad & Tobago 0.09% $93,013,642 72
Lithuania 0.08% $82,678,793 75
Croatia 0.07% $72,343,944 76
Ecuador 0.07% $72,343,944 76
Oman 0.07% $72,343,944 76
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0.06% $62,009,095 79
Georgia 0.06% $62,009,095 79
Moldova 0.06% $62,009,095 79
Bahrain 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Kyrgyzstan 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Latvia 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Luxembourg 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Slovenia 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Tunisia 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Zimbabwe 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Angola 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Armenia 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Dominican Republic 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Jordan 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Lebanon 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Mongolia 0.04% $41,339,396 89
North Macedonia 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Yemen 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Bolivia 0.03% $31,004,547 97
Curacao 0.03% $31,004,547 97
Guatemala 0.03% $31,004,547 97
Jamaica 0.03% $31,004,547 97
ver 21.1116
114 Recipient Entities (in order of cumulative emissions):
Kenya
Myanmar
Sri Lanka
Sudan
Tajikistan
Albania
Brunei
Cote d’Ivoire
Cyprus
Gabon
Ghana
Honduras
Panama
Uruguay
Afghanistan
Bahamas
Benin
Botswana
Cambodia
Cameroon
Costa Rica
Democratic Republic of Congo
El Salvador
Equatorial Guinea
Ethiopia
Guyana
Iceland
Kosovo
Laos
Madagascar
Malta
Mauritius
Montenegro
Mozambique
Nepal
New Caledonia
Nicaragua
Papua New Guinea
Paraguay
Senegal
Suriname
Tanzania
Uganda
Zambia
Andorra
Anguilla
Antigua & Barbuda
Aruba
Barbados
Belize
Bermuda
Bhutan
Bonaire Sint Eustatius & Saba
British Virgin Islands
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cape Verde
Central African Republic
Chad
Comoros
Congo
Cook Islands
Djibouti
Dominica
Eritrea
Eswatini
Faeroe Islands
Fiji
French Polynesia
Gambia
Greenland
Grenada
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Haiti
Kiribati
Lesotho
Liberia
Liechtenstein
Macao
Malawi
Maldives
Mali
Marshall Islands
Mauritania
Micronesia
Montserrat
Namibia
Nauru
Niger
Niue
Palau
Palestine
Rwanda
Saint Helena
Saint Kitts & Nevis
Saint Lucia
Saint Pierre & Miquelon
Saint Vincent & Grenadines
Samoa
Sao Tome & Principe
Seychelles
Sierra Leone
Sint Maarten (Dutch)
Solomon Islands
Somalia
South Sudan
Timor
Togo
Tonga
Turks & Caicos Islands
Tuvalu
Vanuatu
Wallis & Futuna
About TRENDLines Research
Data analyst Freddy Hutter of Vancouver Island BC has developed models & methodologies for macro-economic charts & guidance for policy-makers, stakeholders. legislators, investors, educators, and the public with a long term multi-disciplinary perspective since 1989. TRENDLines removes the noise in (economic) data to reveal the underlying trends. Specialties include: Recession Indicators for Canada, USA & China; Realty Bubble Indicators for Canada, USA, UK & Australia; Global Oil Production & Price Component analysis/forecasts; & national, provincial Party & Presidential political election projections. Covid-19 ultimate deaths forecasting is the most recent endeavour.
