the YUKON PROTOCOL 2021— How Much of the $100 Billion/yr Top 100 GHG Emitters Owe GREEN CLIMATE FUND

As background, after each of the UN’s IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) reports, developing nations begrudged demands on them to forego economical coal, oil and gases as their gracious part in “saving the planet”.

Their objections are founded in the perceived unfairness that while today’s wealthy nations achieved their status in part via industrialization under a high emissions regime, the latter has undergone an epiphany of sorts and so to suppress imminent climate change due to past sins, they now chastise developing nations for utilising those same efficient fossil fuel resources to foster their growth.

So as a fairness measure to offset the cost burden of low emission infrastructure in young economies, COP15-Copenhagen-2009 proposed a Green Climate Fund (GCF) from which they can draw upon — and to be funded by mature nations.

Subsequent COP’s (Conference Of the Parties) established the GCF, but a dozen years on, donor nations continue a struggle to find equitable contribution levels.

TR’s Yukon Protocol suggests a truly relevant apportionment of the $100 billion Climate Finance Delivery Plan rests in setting national contributions in accordance to each country’s share of cumulative co2 emissions.

The Yukon Protocol’s latest methodology divides up the $100 billion Climate Finance target among the top 100 co2 emitters using their known prorated share of cumulative emissions (since Year 1750). Said 100 are responsible for 97% of total emissions for this period. The remaining 114 nations are candidates for GCF grants & loans.

With full compliance, annual contributions within the Protocol range from $31 million assessed against Jamaica — the lowest of the 100 top emitters (0.03%) to $25.65 billion due from the largest — the USA (25.65%). Over 2/3 of the target is achieved levying the top ten emitters. A full list follows below of both top 100 emitters & Green Climate Fund 114 candidate recipients.

Credit to CDIAC, GCP & OWID acknowledged as data sources.

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Freddy Hutter, data analyst charts@trendlines.ca

Top 100 emitter nations — funding proportion based on cumulative co2 emissions:

— nation — assessed share of $100 billion target — emitter rating —

United States 25.65% $25,651,095,494 1
China 13.76% $13,755,684,167 2
Russia 7.12% $7,120,711,038 3
Germany 5.75% $5,746,176,106 4
United Kingdom 4.87% $4,867,713,931 5
Japan 4.04% $4,040,926,002 6
India 3.25% $3,245,142,621 7
France 2.39% $2,387,350,145 8
Canada 2.07% $2,066,969,822 9
Ukraine 1.85% $1,849,937,991 10
Poland 1.73% $1,725,919,802 11
Italy 1.52% $1,519,222,819 12
South Africa 1.29% $1,291,856,139 13
Mexico 1.24% $1,240,181,893 14
Iran 1.15% $1,147,168,251 15
Australia 1.14% $1,136,833,402 16
South Korea 1.06% $1,064,489,458 17
Brazil 0.95% $950,806,118 18
Saudi Arabia 0.93% $930,136,420 19
Spain 0.92% $919,801,571 20
Indonesia 0.85% $847,457,627 21
Kazakhstan 0.84% $837,122,778 22
Belgium 0.78% $775,113,683 23
Czechia 0.74% $744,109,136 24
Netherlands 0.72% $723,439,438 25
Turkey 0.65% $651,095,494 26
Taiwan 0.54% $537,412,154 27
Romania 0.53% $527,077,305 28
Argentina 0.52% $516,742,456 29
Venezuela 0.49% $485,737,908 30
Thailand 0.44% $444,398,512 31
Uzbekistan 0.41% $413,393,964 32
Egypt 0.38% $382,389,417 33
Malaysia 0.36% $361,719,719 34
Austria 0.34% $341,050,021 35
Belarus 0.33% $330,715,172 36
North Korea 0.32% $320,380,322 37
Hungary 0.31% $310,045,473 38
Pakistan 0.31% $310,045,473 38
Sweden 0.31% $310,045,473 38
United Arab Emirates 0.29% $289,375,775 41
Algeria 0.28% $279,040,926 42
Iraq 0.28% $279,040,926 43
Denmark 0.26% $258,371,228 44
Greece 0.25% $248,036,379 45
Bulgaria 0.24% $237,701,530 46
Nigeria 0.24% $237,701,530 46
Slovakia 0.24% $237,701,530 46
Vietnam 0.23% $227,366,680 49
Colombia 0.21% $206,696,982 50
Philippines 0.21% $206,696,982 50
Finland 0.20% $196,362,133 52
Switzerland 0.19% $186,027,284 53
Chile 0.18% $175,692,435 54
Kuwait 0.18% $175,692,435 54
Serbia 0.18% $175,692,435 54
Azerbaijan 0.17% $165,357,586 57
Norway 0.17% $165,357,586 57
Portugal 0.17% $165,357,586 57
Turkmenistan 0.17% $165,357,586 57
Israel 0.14% $144,687,888 61
Ireland 0.13% $134,353,038 62
Singapore 0.13% $134,353,038 62
Libya 0.12% $124,018,189 64
Qatar 0.12% $124,018,189 64
New Zealand 0.11% $113,683,340 66
Peru 0.11% $113,683,340 66
Syria 0.11% $113,683,340 66
Cuba 0.10% $103,348,491 69
Hong Kong 0.10% $103,348,491 69
Morocco 0.10% $103,348,491 69
Bangladesh 0.09% $93,013,642 72
Estonia 0.09% $93,013,642 72
Trinidad & Tobago 0.09% $93,013,642 72
Lithuania 0.08% $82,678,793 75
Croatia 0.07% $72,343,944 76
Ecuador 0.07% $72,343,944 76
Oman 0.07% $72,343,944 76
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0.06% $62,009,095 79
Georgia 0.06% $62,009,095 79
Moldova 0.06% $62,009,095 79
Bahrain 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Kyrgyzstan 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Latvia 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Luxembourg 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Slovenia 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Tunisia 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Zimbabwe 0.05% $51,674,246 82
Angola 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Armenia 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Dominican Republic 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Jordan 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Lebanon 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Mongolia 0.04% $41,339,396 89
North Macedonia 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Yemen 0.04% $41,339,396 89
Bolivia 0.03% $31,004,547 97
Curacao 0.03% $31,004,547 97
Guatemala 0.03% $31,004,547 97
Jamaica 0.03% $31,004,547 97

ver 21.1116

114 Recipient Entities (in order of cumulative emissions):

Kenya

Myanmar

Sri Lanka

Sudan

Tajikistan

Albania

Brunei

Cote d’Ivoire

Cyprus

Gabon

Ghana

Honduras

Panama

Uruguay

Afghanistan

Bahamas

Benin

Botswana

Cambodia

Cameroon

Costa Rica

Democratic Republic of Congo

El Salvador

Equatorial Guinea

Ethiopia

Guyana

Iceland

Kosovo

Laos

Madagascar

Malta

Mauritius

Montenegro

Mozambique

Nepal

New Caledonia

Nicaragua

Papua New Guinea

Paraguay

Senegal

Suriname

Tanzania

Uganda

Zambia

Andorra

Anguilla

Antigua & Barbuda

Aruba

Barbados

Belize

Bermuda

Bhutan

Bonaire Sint Eustatius & Saba

British Virgin Islands

Burkina Faso

Burundi

Cape Verde

Central African Republic

Chad

Comoros

Congo

Cook Islands

Djibouti

Dominica

Eritrea

Eswatini

Faeroe Islands

Fiji

French Polynesia

Gambia

Greenland

Grenada

Guinea

Guinea-Bissau

Haiti

Kiribati

Lesotho

Liberia

Liechtenstein

Macao

Malawi

Maldives

Mali

Marshall Islands

Mauritania

Micronesia

Montserrat

Namibia

Nauru

Niger

Niue

Palau

Palestine

Rwanda

Saint Helena

Saint Kitts & Nevis

Saint Lucia

Saint Pierre & Miquelon

Saint Vincent & Grenadines

Samoa

Sao Tome & Principe

Seychelles

Sierra Leone

Sint Maarten (Dutch)

Solomon Islands

Somalia

South Sudan

Timor

Togo

Tonga

Turks & Caicos Islands

Tuvalu

Vanuatu

Wallis & Futuna

About TRENDLines Research
Data analyst Freddy Hutter of Vancouver Island BC has developed models & methodologies for macro-economic charts & guidance for policy-makers, stakeholders. legislators, investors, educators, and the public with a long term multi-disciplinary perspective since 1989. TRENDLines removes the noise in (economic) data to reveal the underlying trends. Specialties include: Recession Indicators for Canada, USA & China; Realty Bubble Indicators for Canada, USA, UK & Australia; Global Oil Production & Price Component analysis/forecasts; & national, provincial Party & Presidential political election projections. Covid-19 ultimate deaths forecasting is the most recent endeavour.

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